Today / Union Touarga vs Olympic Safi

Union Touarga vs Olympic Safi Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Union Touarga

PPG 0.63 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Olympic Safi

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-15.8%0-22.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.7%1-110.5%1-24.0%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.6%3-15.8%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-14.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.5% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 47.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.1% — — —

BTTS 44.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.8%

H 62% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.7%

#2 2–0 12.5%

#3 1–1✓ 10.5%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Touarga1.8

Olympic Safi0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION TOUARGA · PPG 0.63

OLYMPIC SAFI · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Union Touarga (H) 62.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Olympic Safi (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Touarga face Olympic Safi on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Touarga a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Olympic Safi 15%, so Union Touarga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Union Touarga and 0.8 for Olympic Safi (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Touarga are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.71 for Olympic Safi. This match finished 1-1.

Union Touarga vs Olympic Safi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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