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R. Bijeljina vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:30

R. Bijeljina

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Rudar Prijedor

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 43.5% — a clear edge.

+52.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-15.7%0-21.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.0%1-19.5%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.9%2-18.0%2-22.0%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.9%3-14.5%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-12.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.3% 43.5% 2.30 +52.5%

Draw 23.1% 37.0% 2.70 -37.6%

Away win 10.6% 31.3% 3.20 -66.1%

Over 2.5 37.1% — — —

Over 3.5 17.6% — — —

BTTS 32.1% 47.6% 2.10 -32.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob32.1%

H 66% / xG 1.7-0.5 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 19.0%

#2 2–0 15.9%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 1–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Bijeljina1.7

Rudar Prijedor0.5

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.1% · O3.5 PROB 17.6%

Form & verdict PPG

R. BIJELJINA · PPG 1.47

RUDAR PRIJEDOR · PPG 0.73

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

R. Bijeljina (H) 66.3%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +52.5%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -37.6%

Rudar Prijedor (A) 10.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -66.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Bijeljina face Rudar Prijedor in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Bijeljina a 66% chance, the draw 23% and Rudar Prijedor 11%, so R. Bijeljina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for R. Bijeljina and 0.5 for Rudar Prijedor (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Bijeljina are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.73 for Rudar Prijedor. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +52.5%. This match finished 1-0.

R. Bijeljina vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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