Arsenal vs Newcastle Utd Prediction & Tips

England - Premier League Regular Season - 34 Emirates Stadium· London Saturday, April 25, 2026 16:30

Arsenal PPG 2.38

1-0 HIT CS3

Newcastle Utd PPG 1.00

Home· +14.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68% confidence

Home 79.2%

Odds: 1.44 EV: +14.1%

Draw 13.9%

Odds: 4.70 EV: -34.7%

Away 6.9%

Odds: 6.00 EV: -58.6%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 61.9% Odds: 1.57 -2.8%

Over 3.5 39.6% Odds: 2.40 -5.0%

BTTS 43.0% Odds: 1.70 -26.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 4-0 ✘

Arsenal

2.57

Newcastle Utd

0.63

Model SuggestionHome +14.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.38), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus