Today / Al Muaidar vs Al Kharitiyath

Al Muaidar vs Al Kharitiyath Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Al Muaidar

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Kharitiyath

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-19.9%0-210.8%0-37.9%0-4+7.2%1 1-04.1%1-19.0%1-29.8%1-37.2%1-4+6.5%2 2-01.9%2-14.1%2-24.5%2-33.3%2-4+3.0%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.4% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 66.5% — — —

Over 2.5 59.9% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob53.1%

A 66% / xG 0.9-2.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.8%

#2 0–1 9.9%

#3 1–2✓ 9.8%

#4 1–1 9.0%

#5 0–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Muaidar0.9

Al Kharitiyath2.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL MUAIDAR · PPG 1.33

AL KHARITIYATH · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Al Muaidar (H) 14.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Kharitiyath (A) 66.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Muaidar face Al Kharitiyath on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Muaidar a 14% chance, the draw 19% and Al Kharitiyath 67%, so Al Kharitiyath are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Muaidar and 2.2 for Al Kharitiyath (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Muaidar are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Al Kharitiyath. This match finished 1-2.

Al Muaidar vs Al Kharitiyath Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions