Today / Budaors W vs Ferencvaros W

Budaors W vs Ferencvaros W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Budaors W
PPG 0.56 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Ferencvaros W
PPG 2.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.78) vs Home POOR (0.56)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.1%0-20.6%0-31.6%0-4+66.6%1 1-00.0%1-10.1%1-20.2%1-30.6%1-4+24.8%2 2-00.0%2-10.0%2-20.0%2-30.1%2-4+4.6%3 3-00.0%3-10.0%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 0.0%
Draw 0.1%
Away win 99.9%
Over 2.5 99.2%
Over 3.5 97.4%
BTTS 31.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)0.4 xG (away)8.4 BTTS prob31.1%

A 100% / xG 0.4-8.4 / O2.5 99% / NoBTTS 31%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–5 5.5%
#2 0–4 3.3%
#3 1–5 2.0%
#4 0–3 1.6%
#5 1–4 1.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budaors W0.4
Ferencvaros W8.4

COMBINED 8.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 99.2% · O3.5 PROB 97.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDAORS W · PPG 0.56

FERENCVAROS W · PPG 2.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.78) vs Home POOR (0.56)

Win probability 1X2

Budaors W (H) 0.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 0.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ferencvaros W (A) 99.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Budaors W face Ferencvaros W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budaors W a 0% chance, the draw 0% and Ferencvaros W 100%, so Ferencvaros W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Budaors W and 8.4 for Ferencvaros W (8.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 99% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budaors W are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 2.78 for Ferencvaros W. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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