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Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 30 Polsat Plus Arena· Gdansk Saturday, April 25, 2026 15:30
Lechia Gdansk logo Lechia Gdansk PPG 1.87
1-2 MISS
Rakow C. logo Rakow C. PPG 1.40
Over3.5· +58.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.0%
Odds: 2.46 EV: +45.1%
Draw 18.6%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -34.0%
Away 22.3%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -41.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 76.3% Odds: 1.70 +29.7%
Over 3.5 56.7% Odds: 2.80 +58.8%
BTTS 71.5% Odds: 1.57 +12.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 1-1
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lechia Gdansk
2.49
Rakow C.
1.51

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +29.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+58.8%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

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