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Hummetroth vs Hanau Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:30

Hummetroth

PPG 1.42 · HOME

7 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hanau

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-12.7%0-21.6%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.0%1-17.1%1-24.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.8%2-19.1%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.7%3-17.9%3-24.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-19.5%4+-25.5%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.7% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 15.3% — — —

Over 2.5 72.4% — — —

Over 3.5 51.8% — — —

BTTS 63.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.8%

H 68% / xG 2.6-1.2 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–1 7.1%

#5 3–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hummetroth2.6

Hanau1.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.4% · O3.5 PROB 51.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HUMMETROTH · PPG 1.42

HANAU · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.42), Away POOR (0.14) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hummetroth (H) 67.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hanau (A) 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hummetroth face Hanau in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hummetroth a 68% chance, the draw 17% and Hanau 15%, so Hummetroth are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Hummetroth and 1.2 for Hanau (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hummetroth are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 0.14 for Hanau. This match finished 7-1.

Hummetroth vs Hanau Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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