Today / MTK Hungaria W vs Gyori ETO W

MTK Hungaria W vs Gyori ETO W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

MTK Hungaria W

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Gyori ETO W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-17.5%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.9%1-111.9%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.3%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.7%3-14.9%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% — — —

Draw 25.3% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 43.8% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 45.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.6%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.9%

#2 1–1 11.9%

#3 2–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MTK Hungaria W1.6

Gyori ETO W0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.8% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MTK HUNGARIA W · PPG 2.33

GYORI ETO W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

MTK Hungaria W (H) 54.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gyori ETO W (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MTK Hungaria W face Gyori ETO W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MTK Hungaria W a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Gyori ETO W 20%, so MTK Hungaria W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for MTK Hungaria W and 0.9 for Gyori ETO W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MTK Hungaria W are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Gyori ETO W. This match finished 0-1.

MTK Hungaria W vs Gyori ETO W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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