Today / Han. Kromeriz vs Chrudim

Han. Kromeriz vs Chrudim Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Han. Kromeriz

PPG 0.92 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Chrudim

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.92), Away POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-18.5%0-24.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.8%1-112.4%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.0%2-25.1%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.8%3-14.3%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 29.8% — — —

Over 2.5 48.1% — — —

Over 3.5 26.3% — — —

BTTS 52.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.2%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0✓ 10.8%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 0–1 8.5%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Han. Kromeriz1.5

Chrudim1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.1% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HAN. KROMERIZ · PPG 0.92

CHRUDIM · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.92), Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Han. Kromeriz (H) 44.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Chrudim (A) 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Han. Kromeriz face Chrudim on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Han. Kromeriz a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Chrudim 30%, so Han. Kromeriz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Han. Kromeriz and 1.1 for Chrudim (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Han. Kromeriz are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.83 for Chrudim. This match finished 1-0.

Han. Kromeriz vs Chrudim Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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