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Celik vs Jedinstvo Bihac Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 20 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Celik

PPG 2.33 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Jedinstvo Bihac

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 78.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-12.9%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.8%1-17.0%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.4%2-18.5%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.7%3-16.9%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.7%4+-17.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 78.2% 71.4% 1.40 +9.5%

Draw 14.7% 25.0% 4.00 -41.2%

Away win 7.0% 15.4% 6.50 -54.5%

Over 2.5 58.3% 52.6% 1.90 +10.8%

Over 3.5 35.9% — — —

BTTS 40.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 71%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob40.6%

H 78% / xG 2.4-0.6 / O2.5 58% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.4%

#2 1–0 11.8%

#3 3–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 4–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Celik2.4

Jedinstvo Bihac0.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CELIK · PPG 2.33

JEDINSTVO BIHAC · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away AVERAGE (1.22) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Celik (H) 78.2%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV +9.5%

Draw 14.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -41.2%

Jedinstvo Bihac (A) 7.0%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV -54.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Celik face Jedinstvo Bihac in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Celik a 78% chance, the draw 15% and Jedinstvo Bihac 7%, so Celik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Celik and 0.6 for Jedinstvo Bihac (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Celik are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.22 for Jedinstvo Bihac. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 5-0.

Celik vs Jedinstvo Bihac Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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