Today / L. Mikulas vs S. Lubovna

L. Mikulas vs S. Lubovna Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

L. Mikulas
PPG 2.23 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
S. Lubovna
PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.3%0-21.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.6%1-16.4%1-23.6%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.7%2-18.8%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.1%3-18.1%3-24.6%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-09.6%4+-110.9%4+-26.2%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 71.3%
Draw 15.6%
Away win 13.2%
Over 2.5 74.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 63.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob63.7%

H 71% / xG 2.8-1.1 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%
#2 3–1 8.1%
#3 2–0 7.7%
#4 3–0 7.1%
#5 1–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

L. Mikulas2.8
S. Lubovna1.1

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

L. MIKULAS · PPG 2.23

S. LUBOVNA · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.23), Away POOR (0.62) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

L. Mikulas (H) 71.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
S. Lubovna (A) 13.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

L. Mikulas face S. Lubovna on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives L. Mikulas a 71% chance, the draw 16% and S. Lubovna 13%, so L. Mikulas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for L. Mikulas and 1.1 for S. Lubovna (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, L. Mikulas are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 0.62 for S. Lubovna. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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