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Northcote City vs Port Melbourne Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 9 John Cain Memorial Park· Melbourne Friday, April 17, 2026 10:30
Northcote City logo Northcote City PPG 3.00
0-0 MISS
Port Melbourne logo Port Melbourne PPG 0.00
Home· +14.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Northcote City face Port Melbourne in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Northcote City a 88% chance, the draw 9% and Port Melbourne 3%, so Northcote City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Northcote City and 0.4 for Port Melbourne (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Northcote City are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Port Melbourne. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 88.1%
Odds: 1.30 EV: +14.5%
Draw 9.0%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -55.0%
Away 2.8%
Odds: 6.00 EV: -83.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 42.9% Odds: —
BTTS 30.9% Odds: 1.55 -52.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 5-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Northcote City
2.95
Port Melbourne
0.40

Model Suggestion

Home +14.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -40.0%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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