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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 9 Knights Stadium· Melbourne Friday, April 17, 2026 10:30
Melbourne K. logo Melbourne K. PPG 3.00
0-0 MISS
Manningham Utd logo Manningham Utd PPG 1.50
Home· -1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.0%
Odds: 1.65 EV: -1.0%
Draw 21.5%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -16.2%
Away 18.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -29.3%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 34.5% Odds: —
BTTS 54.2% Odds: 1.36 -26.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Melbourne K.
1.97
Manningham Utd
1.00

Model Suggestion

Home -1.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -1.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=60.0%

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