Today / Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen

Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Banik Ostrava

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Viktoria Plzen

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-112.2%0-29.9%0-35.4%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.2%1-111.7%1-29.6%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-03.5%2-15.6%2-24.6%2-32.5%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.1%3-11.8%3-21.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.3% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 53.0% — — —

Over 2.5 48.0% — — —

Over 3.5 26.3% — — —

BTTS 49.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob49.7%

A 53% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 12.2%

#2 1–1 11.7%

#3 0–2 9.9%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banik Ostrava1.0

Viktoria Plzen1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.0% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BANIK OSTRAVA · PPG 1.00

VIKTORIA PLZEN · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Banik Ostrava (H) 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viktoria Plzen (A) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Banik Ostrava face Viktoria Plzen on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banik Ostrava a 22% chance, the draw 25% and Viktoria Plzen 53%, so Viktoria Plzen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Banik Ostrava and 1.6 for Viktoria Plzen (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banik Ostrava are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.71 for Viktoria Plzen. This match finished 0-1.

Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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