Walsall vs Harrogate Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 45 Bescot Stadium· Walsall Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Walsall PPG 1.32

0-2 MISS

Harrogate PPG 0.95

Home· +35.0% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Walsall face Harrogate in England - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Walsall a 63% chance, the draw 24% and Harrogate 13%, so Walsall are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Walsall and 0.6 for Harrogate (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Walsall are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 0.95 for Harrogate. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +35.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.8%

Odds: 2.15 EV: +35.0%

Draw 23.8%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -19.1%

Away 13.4%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -57.1%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.6% Odds: 2.00 -20.8%

Over 3.5 19.5% Odds: 3.55 -30.8%

BTTS 37.1% Odds: 1.75 -35.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Walsall

1.66

Harrogate

0.61

Model SuggestionHome +35.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.32) > Away POOR (0.95)