Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 45 The Croud Meadow· Shrewsbury Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Shrewsbury PPG 1.45

2-2 MISS

Fleetwood PPG 1.23

Home· +6.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Shrewsbury face Fleetwood in England - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shrewsbury a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Fleetwood 36%, so Fleetwood are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Shrewsbury and 1.1 for Fleetwood (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shrewsbury are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.23 for Fleetwood. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.7%

Odds: 3.15 EV: +6.2%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -3.4%

Away 36.1%

Odds: 2.28 EV: -17.7%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.2% Odds: 2.15 -26.5%

Over 3.5 15.6% Odds: 4.00 -37.6%

BTTS 41.5% Odds: 1.83 -24.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Shrewsbury

1.01

Fleetwood

1.06

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.45), Away AVERAGE (1.23)