Newport vs Oldham Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 45 Rodney Parade· Newport Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Newport PPG 0.86

3-2 MISS

Oldham PPG 1.36

Away· +31.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Newport face Oldham in England - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newport a 24% chance, the draw 28% and Oldham 48%, so Oldham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Newport and 1.3 for Oldham (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newport are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.36 for Oldham. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +31.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.9%

Odds: 2.48 EV: -40.7%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.7%

Away 47.6%

Odds: 2.76 EV: +31.4%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.4% Odds: 2.00 -27.2%

Over 3.5 17.1% Odds: 3.50 -40.2%

BTTS 41.5% Odds: 1.73 -28.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Newport

0.84

Oldham

1.31

Model SuggestionNo Bet  ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.36) vs Home POOR (0.86)