Colchester Utd vs Notts County Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 45 Colchester Community Stadium· Colchester Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Colchester Utd PPG 1.64

0-1 HIT CS5

Notts County PPG 1.55

Home· +37.2% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Colchester Utd face Notts County in England - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colchester Utd a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Notts County 27%, so Colchester Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Colchester Utd and 1.0 for Notts County (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colchester Utd are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.55 for Notts County. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.0%

Odds: 2.92 EV: +37.2%

Draw 26.2%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -10.9%

Away 26.8%

Odds: 2.32 EV: -37.8%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.7% Odds: 1.93 -11.8%

Over 3.5 24.3% Odds: 3.35 -18.6%

BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.70 -15.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Colchester Utd

1.47

Notts County

1.04

Model SuggestionNo Bet  ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.55)