Accrington vs Crawley Town Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 45 The Wham Stadium· Accrington Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Accrington PPG 1.41

3-3 MISS

Crawley Town PPG 0.64

Home· +79.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Accrington face Crawley Town in England - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Accrington a 56% chance, the draw 27% and Crawley Town 17%, so Accrington are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Accrington and 0.6 for Crawley Town (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Accrington are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 0.64 for Crawley Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +79.8%. This match finished 3-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.2%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +79.8%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -10.2%

Away 16.6%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -63.5%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 2.05 -30.3%

Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: 3.75 -42.3%

BTTS 35.7% Odds: 1.80 -35.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Accrington

1.43

Crawley Town

0.64

Model SuggestionHome +79.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.41) > Away POOR (0.64)