Wigan Athletic vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 45 The Brick Community Stadium· Wigan Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Wigan Athletic PPG 1.68

0-1 MISS

AFC Wimbledon PPG 1.00

Home· +34.4% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wigan Athletic face AFC Wimbledon in England - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wigan Athletic a 61% chance, the draw 23% and AFC Wimbledon 16%, so Wigan Athletic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wigan Athletic and 0.8 for AFC Wimbledon (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wigan Athletic are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.00 for AFC Wimbledon. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +34.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.1%

Odds: 2.20 EV: +34.4%

Draw 22.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -26.9%

Away 16.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -46.7%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.0% Odds: 2.15 +5.3%

Over 3.5 27.1% Odds: 4.00 +8.4%

BTTS 46.7% Odds: 1.85 -13.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wigan Athletic

1.82

AFC Wimbledon

0.82

Model SuggestionHome +34.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.68) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)