Bradford vs Bolton Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 45 Valley Parade· Bradford Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Bradford PPG 2.23

1-1 HIT CS2

Bolton PPG 1.23

Home· +29.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bradford face Bolton in England - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bradford a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Bolton 23%, so Bradford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bradford and 0.9 for Bolton (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bradford are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.23 for Bolton. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.1%

Odds: 2.58 EV: +29.3%

Draw 26.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -13.9%

Away 23.4%

Odds: 2.66 EV: -37.8%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.4% Odds: 1.93 -18.2%

Over 3.5 21.6% Odds: 3.30 -28.7%

BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.67 -23.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bradford

1.46

Bolton

0.91

Model SuggestionHome +29.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=50.1%