QP Rangers face Derby County on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives QP Rangers a 45% chance, the draw 24% and Derby County 31%, so QP Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for QP Rangers and 1.4 for Derby County (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, QP Rangers are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.36 for Derby County. This match finished 2-0.
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.36)