Today / Wolverhampton vs Tottenham

Wolverhampton vs Tottenham Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Wolverhampton

PPG 0.75 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Tottenham

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: POOR (0.75) vs Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-111.3%0-28.6%0-34.4%0-4+2.3%1 1-08.0%1-112.2%1-29.3%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.3%2-16.6%2-25.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.6%3-12.4%3-21.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.9% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 47.4% — — —

Over 2.5 48.1% — — —

Over 3.5 26.4% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob51.6%

A 47% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1✓ 11.3%

#3 1–2 9.3%

#4 0–2 8.6%

#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wolverhampton1.1

Tottenham1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.1% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLVERHAMPTON · PPG 0.75

TOTTENHAM · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.75) vs Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Wolverhampton (H) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tottenham (A) 47.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolverhampton face Tottenham on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolverhampton a 27% chance, the draw 26% and Tottenham 47%, so Tottenham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Wolverhampton and 1.5 for Tottenham (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolverhampton are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.25 for Tottenham. This match finished 0-1.

Wolverhampton vs Tottenham Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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