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West Ham Utd vs Everton Prediction— England - Premier League

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

West Ham Utd

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Everton

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.4% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-110.0%0-26.6%0-32.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.6%1-112.6%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.1%2-18.0%2-25.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.5%3-13.3%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% 43.9% 2.28 -19.1%

Draw 26.5% 30.3% 3.30 -12.6%

Away win 38.0% 32.8% 3.05 +15.9%

Over 2.5 47.5% 54.1% 1.85 -12.1%

Over 3.5 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -20.0%

BTTS 52.4% 59.9% 1.67 -12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.4%

A 38% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 10.0%

#3 1–0 9.6%

#4 1–2 8.3%

#5 2–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

West Ham Utd1.3

Everton1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WEST HAM UTD · PPG 1.00

EVERTON · PPG 1.56

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

West Ham Utd (H) 35.5%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV -19.1%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -12.6%

Everton (A) 38.0%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +15.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

West Ham Utd face Everton in England - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Ham Utd a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Everton 38%, so Everton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for West Ham Utd and 1.3 for Everton (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Ham Utd are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.56 for Everton. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.9%. This match finished 2-1.

West Ham Utd vs Everton Prediction— England - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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