Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 34 Anfield· Liverpool Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Liverpool PPG 1.94

3-1 MISS

Crystal Palace PPG 1.53

Away· +6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.0%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -14.3%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +5.2%

Away 19.7%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +6.4%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 1.62 -24.3%

Over 3.5 25.2% Odds: 2.55 -35.7%

BTTS 47.4% Odds: 1.70 -19.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool

1.67

Crystal Palace

0.88

Model SuggestionHome -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away GOOD (1.53)