Today / Trencin W vs Zilina W

Trencin W vs Zilina W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Trencin W

PPG 1.36 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Zilina W

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.7%0-23.6%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.0%1-19.2%1-27.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.8%3-15.8%3-24.5%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.5%4+-23.4%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 30.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.6% — — —

Over 3.5 46.0% — — —

BTTS 67.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob67.2%

H 48% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 1–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trencin W2.0

Zilina W1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.6% · O3.5 PROB 46.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TRENCIN W · PPG 1.36

ZILINA W · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.36) vs P(Home)=47.8%

Win probability 1X2

Trencin W (H) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zilina W (A) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trencin W face Zilina W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trencin W a 48% chance, the draw 22% and Zilina W 30%, so Trencin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Trencin W and 1.5 for Zilina W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trencin W are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.45 for Zilina W. This match finished 0-1.

Trencin W vs Zilina W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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