Today / UDI 19 vs GOES

UDI 19 vs GOES Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

UDI 19
PPG 1.20 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
GOES
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.5%0-22.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.7%1-18.0%1-25.7%1-32.7%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.4%2-19.1%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.9%3-16.9%3-24.9%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-16.7%4+-24.7%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.7%
Draw 19.9%
Away win 23.4%
Over 2.5 71.3%
Over 3.5 50.4%
BTTS 68.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob68.0%

H 57% / xG 2.3-1.4 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%
#2 1–1 8.0%
#3 3–1 6.9%
#4 2–2 6.5%
#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UDI 192.3
GOES1.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.3% · O3.5 PROB 50.4%

Form & verdict PPG

UDI 19 · PPG 1.20

GOES · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

UDI 19 (H) 56.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 19.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
GOES (A) 23.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

UDI 19 face GOES on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UDI 19 a 57% chance, the draw 20% and GOES 23%, so UDI 19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for UDI 19 and 1.4 for GOES (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UDI 19 are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.00 for GOES.

PredictVantage

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