Today / ASWH vs RBC

ASWH vs RBC Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

ASWH

PPG 0.87 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

RBC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.8%0-24.3%0-34.3%0-4+7.1%1 1-01.5%1-14.6%1-27.0%1-37.1%1-4+11.6%2 2-01.2%2-13.8%2-25.7%2-35.8%2-4+9.5%3 3-00.7%3-12.1%3-23.1%3-33.2%3-4+5.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.2%4+-21.9%4+-31.9%4+-4+3.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.2% — — —

Draw 15.7% — — —

Away win 66.1% — — —

Over 2.5 84.7% — — —

Over 3.5 68.9% — — —

BTTS 76.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob76.8%

A 66% / xG 1.6-3.1 / O2.5 85% / BTTS 77%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.1%

#2 1–2 7.0%

#3 2–3✓ 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.7%

#5 1–4 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ASWH1.6

RBC3.1

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 84.7% · O3.5 PROB 68.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ASWH · PPG 0.87

RBC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

ASWH (H) 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RBC (A) 66.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

ASWH face RBC on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ASWH a 18% chance, the draw 16% and RBC 66%, so RBC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for ASWH and 3.1 for RBC (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ASWH are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 1.00 for RBC. This match finished 2-3.

ASWH vs RBC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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