DVS 33 vs Sportlust Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Group A - 31 Sportpark Zuid DVS '33· Ermelo Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:00

DVS 33 PPG 2.07

2-1 HIT CS2

Sportlust PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

DVS 33 face Sportlust in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DVS 33 a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Sportlust 26%, so DVS 33 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for DVS 33 and 1.2 for Sportlust (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DVS 33 are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.33 for Sportlust. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 23.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 25.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 33.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 56.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

DVS 33

1.74

Sportlust

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 43%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)