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Terengganu vs Negeri Sembilan Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:00

Terengganu

PPG 1.20 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Negeri Sembilan

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.7%0-24.3%0-32.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.8%1-110.1%1-27.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.6%3-15.3%3-23.9%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.5%4+-22.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% 63.7% 1.57 -30.1%

Draw 23.0% 25.0% 4.00 -8.0%

Away win 32.5% 21.7% 4.60 +49.5%

Over 2.5 63.1% 66.7% 1.50 -5.3%

Over 3.5 40.9% 45.5% 2.20 -10.0%

BTTS 64.1% 66.7% 1.50 -3.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.1%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 1–0 6.8%

#5 2–2✓ 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Terengganu1.8

Negeri Sembilan1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TERENGGANU · PPG 1.20

NEGERI SEMBILAN · PPG 0.90

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away POOR (0.90)

Win probability 1X2

Terengganu (H) 44.5%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -30.1%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.0%

Negeri Sembilan (A) 32.5%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +49.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Terengganu face Negeri Sembilan in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Terengganu a 45% chance, the draw 23% and Negeri Sembilan 33%, so Terengganu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Terengganu and 1.5 for Negeri Sembilan (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Terengganu are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.90 for Negeri Sembilan. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +49.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Terengganu vs Negeri Sembilan Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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