Today / RES Roma W vs Verona W

RES Roma W vs Verona W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

RES Roma W
PPG 1.50 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Verona W
PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.5%0-21.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.5%1-16.6%1-24.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.3%2-18.9%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.5%3-17.9%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-08.4%4+-110.2%4+-26.2%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 68.5%
Draw 16.4%
Away win 15.0%
Over 2.5 74.6%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 65.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob65.5%

H 68% / xG 2.7-1.2 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%
#2 3–1 7.9%
#3 2–0 7.3%
#4 1–1 6.6%
#5 3–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RES Roma W2.7
Verona W1.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.6% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RES ROMA W · PPG 1.50

VERONA W · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.55) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

RES Roma W (H) 68.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Verona W (A) 15.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RES Roma W face Verona W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RES Roma W a 69% chance, the draw 16% and Verona W 15%, so RES Roma W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for RES Roma W and 1.2 for Verona W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RES Roma W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.55 for Verona W. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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