Today / Viktoria FC W vs Szent Mihaly W

Viktoria FC W vs Szent Mihaly W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Viktoria FC W
PPG 0.63 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Szent Mihaly W
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.88)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-18.0%0-210.1%0-38.5%0-4+9.7%1 1-03.0%1-17.5%1-29.4%1-37.9%1-4+9.0%2 2-01.4%2-13.5%2-24.3%2-33.6%2-4+4.2%3 3-00.4%3-11.1%3-21.3%3-31.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 11.8%
Draw 16.3%
Away win 71.9%
Over 2.5 66.8%
Over 3.5 45.1%
BTTS 55.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob55.5%

A 72% / xG 0.9-2.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.1%
#2 1–2 9.4%
#3 0–3 8.5%
#4 0–1 8.0%
#5 1–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viktoria FC W0.9
Szent Mihaly W2.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTORIA FC W · PPG 0.63

SZENT MIHALY W · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Viktoria FC W (H) 11.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Szent Mihaly W (A) 71.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viktoria FC W face Szent Mihaly W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoria FC W a 12% chance, the draw 16% and Szent Mihaly W 72%, so Szent Mihaly W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Viktoria FC W and 2.5 for Szent Mihaly W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoria FC W are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.88 for Szent Mihaly W. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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