Today / T. Augsburg vs FC Schwaig

T. Augsburg vs FC Schwaig Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

T. Augsburg

PPG 0.86 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

FC Schwaig

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-19.4%0-29.7%0-36.6%0-4+5.5%1 1-04.7%1-19.7%1-29.9%1-36.8%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.4%2-15.0%2-25.1%2-33.5%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.8%3-11.7%3-21.7%3-31.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.1% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 61.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 37.1% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob55.9%

A 61% / xG 1.0-2.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.9%

#2 0–2 9.7%

#3 1–1 9.7%

#4 0–1 9.4%

#5 1–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Augsburg1.0

FC Schwaig2.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

T. AUGSBURG · PPG 0.86

FC SCHWAIG · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

T. Augsburg (H) 18.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Schwaig (A) 61.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Augsburg face FC Schwaig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Augsburg a 18% chance, the draw 21% and FC Schwaig 61%, so FC Schwaig are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for T. Augsburg and 2.1 for FC Schwaig (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Augsburg are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.13 for FC Schwaig. This match finished 0-4.

T. Augsburg vs FC Schwaig Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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