Today / LKS Lodz vs Stal Rzeszow

LKS Lodz vs Stal Rzeszow Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

LKS Lodz

PPG 1.62 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stal Rzeszow

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.9%0-23.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.7%1-19.8%1-26.2%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.7%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.1%3-16.4%3-24.0%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.0%4+-23.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 62.9% — — —

Over 3.5 40.8% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.8%

H 54% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1✓ 9.7%

#3 1–0 7.7%

#4 2–0 7.7%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LKS Lodz2.0

Stal Rzeszow1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LKS LODZ · PPG 1.62

STAL RZESZOW · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

LKS Lodz (H) 54.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stal Rzeszow (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LKS Lodz face Stal Rzeszow on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LKS Lodz a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Stal Rzeszow 24%, so LKS Lodz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for LKS Lodz and 1.3 for Stal Rzeszow (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LKS Lodz are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.21 for Stal Rzeszow. This match finished 2-1.

LKS Lodz vs Stal Rzeszow Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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