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Huizen vs VV Scherpenzeel Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Group A - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:30

Huizen

PPG 1.53 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

VV Scherpenzeel

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.9%0-25.4%0-33.3%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.2%1-19.5%1-28.7%1-35.3%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.2%2-17.6%2-26.9%2-34.2%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.2%3-14.1%3-23.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.3%4+-22.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 43.5% — — —

Over 2.5 66.5% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 66.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.9%

A 44% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huizen1.6

VV Scherpenzeel1.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.5% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HUIZEN · PPG 1.53

VV SCHERPENZEEL · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Huizen (H) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VV Scherpenzeel (A) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Huizen face VV Scherpenzeel in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huizen a 34% chance, the draw 22% and VV Scherpenzeel 44%, so VV Scherpenzeel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Huizen and 1.8 for VV Scherpenzeel (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huizen are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.00 for VV Scherpenzeel. This match finished 0-4.

Huizen vs VV Scherpenzeel Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Match Preview & Prediction

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