Genemuiden vs Urk Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Group A - 31 Sportpark De Wetering· Genemuiden Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:30

Genemuiden PPG 1.73

3-0 MISS

Urk PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Genemuiden face Urk in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Genemuiden a 77% chance, the draw 12% and Urk 12%, so Genemuiden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Genemuiden and 1.6 for Urk (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 91% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Genemuiden are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.79 for Urk. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 11.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 11.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 91.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 80.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 79.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1 ✘

2nd 4-1 ✘

3rd 3-2 ✘

4th 4-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Genemuiden

3.87

Urk

1.64

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 43%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.73), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus