Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Group A - 31 Sportpark De Koerbelt· Rijssen Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:30

Excelsior 31 PPG 1.13

0-1 HIT CS3

Harkemase Boys PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Excelsior 31 face Harkemase Boys in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Excelsior 31 a 24% chance, the draw 23% and Harkemase Boys 53%, so Harkemase Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Excelsior 31 and 1.8 for Harkemase Boys (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Excelsior 31 are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.47 for Harkemase Boys. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 23.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 53.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 56.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior 31

1.12

Harkemase Boys

1.80

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 43%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.13) vs Away AVERAGE (1.47)