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Eemdijk vs DOVO Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Group A - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:30

Eemdijk

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

DOVO

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.1%0-24.3%0-32.4%0-4+1.4%1 1-05.6%1-19.3%1-27.7%1-34.3%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.4%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.1%3-15.1%3-24.3%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.5%4+-22.9%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.6% — — —

Over 3.5 46.0% — — —

BTTS 67.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob67.9%

H 42% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1✓ 8.4%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eemdijk1.8

DOVO1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.6% · O3.5 PROB 46.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EEMDIJK · PPG 1.33

DOVO · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Eemdijk (H) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

DOVO (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eemdijk face DOVO in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eemdijk a 42% chance, the draw 22% and DOVO 36%, so Eemdijk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Eemdijk and 1.7 for DOVO (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eemdijk are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.14 for DOVO. This match finished 2-1.

Eemdijk vs DOVO Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Match Preview & Prediction

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