Today / RKAV Volendam vs AFC

RKAV Volendam vs AFC Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

RKAV Volendam

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

AFC

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.3%0-24.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.6%1-111.7%1-27.1%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.3%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.1%3-14.9%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 53.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.0% — — —

BTTS 56.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob56.1%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–0 9.6%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 0–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RKAV Volendam1.6

AFC1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RKAV VOLENDAM · PPG 1.33

AFC · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

RKAV Volendam (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AFC (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RKAV Volendam face AFC on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RKAV Volendam a 46% chance, the draw 25% and AFC 29%, so RKAV Volendam are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for RKAV Volendam and 1.2 for AFC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RKAV Volendam are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.07 for AFC. This match finished 0-3.

RKAV Volendam vs AFC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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