Today / GVVV vs IJsselmeerv.

GVVV vs IJsselmeerv. Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

GVVV

PPG 1.33 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

IJsselmeerv.

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.8%0-23.8%0-32.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.7%1-19.2%1-27.3%1-33.9%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.5%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.5%3-15.5%3-24.4%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.1%4+-23.3%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 32.7% — — —

Over 2.5 68.0% — — —

Over 3.5 46.4% — — —

BTTS 67.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob67.9%

H 45% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GVVV1.9

IJsselmeerv.1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GVVV · PPG 1.33

IJSSELMEERV. · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

GVVV (H) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

IJsselmeerv. (A) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GVVV face IJsselmeerv. on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GVVV a 45% chance, the draw 22% and IJsselmeerv. 33%, so GVVV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for GVVV and 1.6 for IJsselmeerv. (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GVVV are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.87 for IJsselmeerv.. This match finished 3-1.

GVVV vs IJsselmeerv. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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