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DPMM FC vs Kuching Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:15

DPMM FC

PPG 1.10 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Kuching

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 85.9% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4% — a clear edge.

+20.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-19.9%0-214.3%0-313.7%0-4+20.1%1 1-01.7%1-14.8%1-27.0%1-36.7%1-4+9.8%2 2-00.4%2-11.2%2-21.7%2-31.6%2-4+2.4%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 3.9% 15.6% 6.40 -75.0%

Draw 10.2% 22.2% 4.50 -54.1%

Away win 85.9% 71.4% 1.40 +20.3%

Over 2.5 65.6% 67.6% 1.48 -2.9%

Over 3.5 43.6% 45.5% 2.20 -4.1%

BTTS 36.4% 61.7% 1.62 -41.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob36.4%

A 86% / xG 0.5-2.9 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.3%

#2 0–3 13.7%

#3 0–4 9.9%

#4 0–1 9.9%

#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DPMM FC0.5

Kuching2.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DPMM FC · PPG 1.10

KUCHING · PPG 1.80

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.10)

Win probability 1X2

DPMM FC (H) 3.9%

ODDS 6.40 · IMPLIED 15.6% EV -75.0%

Draw 10.2%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -54.1%

Kuching (A) 85.9%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV +20.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

DPMM FC face Kuching in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DPMM FC a 4% chance, the draw 10% and Kuching 86%, so Kuching are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for DPMM FC and 2.9 for Kuching (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DPMM FC are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.80 for Kuching. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.3%. This match finished 2-2.

DPMM FC vs Kuching Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions