Somaspor vs K. Istiklalspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Turkey - 2. Lig Kırmızı - 34 Soma Atatürk Stadyumu· Soma Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:00

Somaspor PPG 1.06

2-3 MISS

K. Istiklalspor PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Somaspor face K. Istiklalspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Somaspor a 9% chance, the draw 13% and K. Istiklalspor 78%, so K. Istiklalspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Somaspor and 2.9 for K. Istiklalspor (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Somaspor are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.25 for K. Istiklalspor. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 8.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 13.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 78.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 53.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-3 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 0-4 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Somaspor

0.93

K. Istiklalspor

2.93

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.25)