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Musspor vs Adanaspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Musspor

PPG 2.44 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Adanaspor

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.0%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.1%1-10.0%1-20.0%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-00.6%2-10.2%2-20.0%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.6%3-10.5%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-070.1%4+-122.6%4+-23.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 99.9% — — —

Draw 0.1% — — —

Away win 0.0% — — —

Over 2.5 99.2% — — —

Over 3.5 97.4% — — —

BTTS 27.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)8.4 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob27.6%

H 100% / xG 8.4-0.3 / O2.5 99% / NoBTTS 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 5.6%

#2 4–0 3.4%

#3 5–1 1.8%

#4 3–0 1.6%

#5 4–1 1.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Musspor8.4

Adanaspor0.3

COMBINED 8.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 99.2% · O3.5 PROB 97.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MUSSPOR · PPG 2.44

ADANASPOR · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Musspor (H) 99.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 0.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Adanaspor (A) 0.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Musspor face Adanaspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Musspor a 100% chance, the draw 0% and Adanaspor 0%, so Musspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 8.4 for Musspor and 0.3 for Adanaspor (8.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 99% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Musspor are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 0.38 for Adanaspor. This match finished 6-0.

Musspor vs Adanaspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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