Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Mardin BB vs Fethiyespor

Mardin BB vs Fethiyespor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Mardin BB

PPG 2.38 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Fethiyespor

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.38), Away AVERAGE (1.38) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-14.7%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.7%1-19.5%1-23.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.8%2-19.6%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.6%3-16.5%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-15.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.1% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 12.9% — — —

Over 2.5 52.3% — — —

Over 3.5 30.1% — — —

BTTS 45.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.8%

H 67% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.8%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 2–1 9.6%

#4 1–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mardin BB2.0

Fethiyespor0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 30.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MARDIN BB · PPG 2.38

FETHIYESPOR · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.38), Away AVERAGE (1.38) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Mardin BB (H) 67.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fethiyespor (A) 12.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mardin BB face Fethiyespor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mardin BB a 67% chance, the draw 20% and Fethiyespor 13%, so Mardin BB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Mardin BB and 0.8 for Fethiyespor (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mardin BB are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 1.38 for Fethiyespor. This match finished 0-0.

Mardin BB vs Fethiyespor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

More Turkey - 2. Lig Predictions