Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Sanliurfaspor vs Ankaraspor

Sanliurfaspor vs Ankaraspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 38 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Sanliurfaspor

PPG 1.76 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ankaraspor

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.6%0-23.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.8%1-19.3%1-26.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.0%2-19.5%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.7%3-16.4%3-24.4%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-15.2%4+-23.5%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 25.4% — — —

Over 2.5 65.9% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 64.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob64.6%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 9.5%

#2 1–1 9.3%

#3 2–0 7.0%

#4 1–0 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sanliurfaspor2.0

Ankaraspor1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SANLIURFASPOR · PPG 1.76

ANKARASPOR · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.76) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Win probability 1X2

Sanliurfaspor (H) 53.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ankaraspor (A) 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sanliurfaspor face Ankaraspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sanliurfaspor a 53% chance, the draw 21% and Ankaraspor 25%, so Sanliurfaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sanliurfaspor and 1.4 for Ankaraspor (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sanliurfaspor are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 1.35 for Ankaraspor. This match finished 2-1.

Sanliurfaspor vs Ankaraspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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