Today / Pecsi MFC W vs Puskas A. W

Pecsi MFC W vs Puskas A. W Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Pecsi MFC W
PPG 1.44 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Puskas A. W
PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.5%0-210.0%0-312.1%0-4+28.2%1 1-00.8%1-13.1%1-25.6%1-36.7%1-4+15.6%2 2-00.2%2-10.9%2-21.5%2-31.9%2-4+4.3%3 3-00.0%3-10.2%3-20.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 2.6%
Draw 6.5%
Away win 90.9%
Over 2.5 78.7%
Over 3.5 60.1%
BTTS 41.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 73%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.6 BTTS prob41.5%

A 91% / xG 0.6-3.6 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 12.1%
#2 0–4 11.0%
#3 0–2 10.0%
#4 0–5 8.0%
#5 1–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pecsi MFC W0.6
Puskas A. W3.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PECSI MFC W · PPG 1.44

PUSKAS A. W · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Pecsi MFC W (H) 2.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 6.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Puskas A. W (A) 90.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pecsi MFC W face Puskas A. W on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pecsi MFC W a 3% chance, the draw 7% and Puskas A. W 91%, so Puskas A. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Pecsi MFC W and 3.6 for Puskas A. W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pecsi MFC W are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.38 for Puskas A. W. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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