Today / BSV Rehden vs Verden 04

BSV Rehden vs Verden 04 Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

BSV Rehden

PPG 0.92 · HOME

UPCOMING

Verden 04

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-14.1%0-24.5%0-33.3%0-4+3.0%1 1-03.4%1-17.4%1-28.0%1-35.8%1-4+5.3%2 2-03.0%2-16.6%2-27.2%2-35.2%2-4+4.7%3 3-01.8%3-13.9%3-24.3%3-33.1%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.6%4+-22.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 47.3% — — —

Over 2.5 75.8% — — —

Over 3.5 56.1% — — —

BTTS 73.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob73.9%

A 47% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSV Rehden1.8

Verden 042.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.8% · O3.5 PROB 56.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BSV REHDEN · PPG 0.92

VERDEN 04 · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.92), Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

BSV Rehden (H) 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Verden 04 (A) 47.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BSV Rehden face Verden 04 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSV Rehden a 32% chance, the draw 20% and Verden 04 47%, so Verden 04 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for BSV Rehden and 2.2 for Verden 04 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSV Rehden are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.92 for Verden 04.

BSV Rehden vs Verden 04 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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