Today / Giessen vs Stadtallendorf

Giessen vs Stadtallendorf Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Giessen

PPG 2.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Stadtallendorf

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.4%0-23.5%0-31.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.5%1-18.8%1-27.0%1-33.7%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.5%2-18.8%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.7%3-15.8%3-24.6%3-32.5%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.6%4+-23.6%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 31.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.4% — — —

Over 3.5 48.1% — — —

BTTS 68.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob68.8%

H 47% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Giessen2.0

Stadtallendorf1.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.4% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GIESSEN · PPG 2.50

STADTALLENDORF · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=47.2%

Win probability 1X2

Giessen (H) 47.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stadtallendorf (A) 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Giessen face Stadtallendorf on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Giessen a 47% chance, the draw 22% and Stadtallendorf 31%, so Giessen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Giessen and 1.6 for Stadtallendorf (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Giessen are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.62 for Stadtallendorf. This match finished 0-2.

Giessen vs Stadtallendorf Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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