Today / Eintracht F. B vs Fernwald

Eintracht F. B vs Fernwald Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Eintracht F. B
PPG 3.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Fernwald
PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.40) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.5%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.8%1-16.7%1-23.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.2%2-19.0%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.1%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-010.6%4+-110.5%4+-25.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 73.4%
Draw 15.2%
Away win 11.3%
Over 2.5 71.1%
Over 3.5 50.1%
BTTS 58.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.5%

H 73% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.2%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 3–0 8.2%
#4 3–1 8.1%
#5 1–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht F. B2.7
Fernwald1.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.1%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT F. B · PPG 3.00

FERNWALD · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.40) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht F. B (H) 73.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Fernwald (A) 11.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht F. B face Fernwald on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht F. B a 73% chance, the draw 15% and Fernwald 11%, so Eintracht F. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Eintracht F. B and 1.0 for Fernwald (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht F. B are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Fernwald.

PredictVantage

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