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Portland Timbers II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 20:00

Portland Timbers II

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDW

UPCOMING

Vancouver Whitecaps II

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 70% chance

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-13.7%0-21.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.4%1-18.5%1-23.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-19.7%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-17.4%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-17.3%4+-23.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.3% 62.5% 1.60 -6.7%

Draw 19.9% 23.8% 4.20 -9.8%

Away win 21.8% 25.6% 3.90 -9.0%

Over 2.5 63.7% 69.4% 1.44 -8.3%

Over 3.5 41.2% 52.6% 1.90 -21.7%

BTTS 57.7% 70.4% 1.42 -18.1%

Home O1.5 66.3% 71.9% 1.39 -7.8%

Away O1.5 26.1% 40.8% 2.45 -21.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 15.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob57.7%

H 58% / xG 2.3-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–0 10.7%

#3 2–1 9.7%

#4 3–0 8.2%

#5 1–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portland Timbers II2.3

Vancouver Whitecaps II0.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTLAND TIMBERS II · PPG 1.67

VANCOUVER WHITECAPS II · PPG 0.17

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

70%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Portland Timbers II (H) 58.3%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -6.7%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -9.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps II (A) 21.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Portland Timbers II face Vancouver Whitecaps II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portland Timbers II a 58% chance, the draw 20% and Vancouver Whitecaps II 22%, so Portland Timbers II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Portland Timbers II and 0.9 for Vancouver Whitecaps II (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portland Timbers II are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps II.

Portland Timbers II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - MLS Next Pro Predictions